2017 British Columbia election (user search)
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Author Topic: 2017 British Columbia election  (Read 68372 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #25 on: May 10, 2017, 01:02:14 AM »
« edited: May 10, 2017, 01:04:14 AM by MAINEiac4434 »

Assuming it ends up 42-42 I assume LIB can also claim, in addition to being the incumbent party, that they won the popular vote so they should have first shot at government formation.
Popular vote has nothing to do with it. The incumbent party gets first shot.

Regardless, the Libs increased their lead in Coquitlam. With only four polls remaining, I can't see the NDP coming back.

NDP lead in Vancouver-False Creek is down to less than 50 votes.

Maple Ridge-Mission and Courtenay-Comax are probably the safest non-called NDP seats, both with a 100+ vote lead.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #26 on: May 10, 2017, 01:06:41 AM »

The Cons definitely are playing spoiler in Maple Ridge-Mission, too. 757 useless votes for the BC Conservatives there, with the Liberals trailing by 150.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #27 on: May 10, 2017, 01:08:59 AM »

I assume that if it ends up being a minority government of some sort that we should be seeing a mid-term election soon ?
Yes. The NDP and Greens could ally to force an early election at an inconvenient time for the Liberals, or the Liberals could call an early one at an inconvenient time for the other two.

The latest poll report from Coquitlam saw the Liberal lead move up a smidge. Two polls left.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #28 on: May 10, 2017, 01:10:21 AM »

The Liberal candidate is surging in Courtenay. Less than 30 vote lead for the NDP there, when it was over 300 just a few minutes ago.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #29 on: May 10, 2017, 01:15:21 AM »

Liberal just took an 86-vote lead in Courtenay.

The Liberals will form government. There's a chance they'll even get a majority.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #30 on: May 10, 2017, 01:16:40 AM »


http://globalnews.ca/news/3432025/live-bc-election-2017-real-time-results/
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #31 on: May 10, 2017, 01:19:00 AM »

Does Horgan resign after this? This was a winnable election that they lost.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #32 on: May 10, 2017, 01:21:26 AM »

More polls closed in Maple Ridge-Mission. NDP increased their lead there.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #33 on: May 10, 2017, 01:27:56 AM »

The Liberals just took a huge lead in False Creek. They have a majority.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #34 on: May 10, 2017, 01:28:44 AM »

NDP just retook the lead in Courtenay. only two polls left and a 160 vote lead there.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #35 on: May 10, 2017, 01:30:30 AM »

Maple Ridge-Mission now looking extremely vulnerable for the NDP...less than a 40 vote lead there with three polls still out.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #36 on: May 10, 2017, 01:33:18 AM »

Coquitlam finally called.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #37 on: May 10, 2017, 01:34:32 AM »

Maple Ridge-Mission finally called for the NDP. It's down to Courtenay and False Creek.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #38 on: May 10, 2017, 01:36:44 AM »

One poll in Courtenay-Comox remains. 150 vote lead for the NDP.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #39 on: May 10, 2017, 01:39:17 AM »

The Conservative vote royally screwed the BC Liberals in Courtenay.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #40 on: May 10, 2017, 01:40:35 AM »

Wow. Crazy. I imagine the Liberals will agitate for a recount.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #41 on: May 10, 2017, 01:41:21 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
Mayne the NDP-heavy areas already voted and the rest of the riding is heavy Liberal?
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #42 on: May 10, 2017, 01:45:23 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
Mayne the NDP-heavy areas already voted and the rest of the riding is heavy Liberal?

The CBC hasn't called that one.
Huh. Global News and the Vancouver Sun both have.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #43 on: May 10, 2017, 01:54:35 AM »

40 votes separate the Lib and Dip now. They might do it.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #44 on: May 11, 2017, 11:07:31 PM »

BCNDP's vote percentage only went up by 0.15%. Whatever they gained from the Liberals they lost an equal amount to the Greens.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #45 on: May 30, 2017, 02:17:09 PM »

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think this is the first time the Greens have been part of a government in Canadian history.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #46 on: May 31, 2017, 04:10:02 PM »

Clark should really step down; she's woefully unpopular and just lost an evidently winnable election. Not to mention she's about to experience the humiliation of having a throne speech voted down.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #47 on: July 28, 2017, 03:18:03 PM »

So who are the likely candidates to replace Clark as leader?
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