Washington state megathread

[Dgov]

Doesn't Washington have a more Conservative Hispanic population than the nation as a whole?  I mean, the most Hispanic district is the Heavily Republican 4th, which is 25% Hispanic, a full four times as Hispanic as the next best, the 9th.  Also, since this is a primary, some Liberal-Leaning Hispanics might not have showed up to vote in protest.

But given all that, this is very good news indeed.

[Dgov]

In looking at historical data, the WA State House was 65-32 D from 1993-1994 right before the GOP wave of 94.  I realize that the Democrats only gained dominance of all 6 seats in the Seattle Eastside House Districts #41, 45, 48 in 2008, so did the Dems have a substantial base in the Eastern Washington during the early 90s?

Well, They held both the Congressional seats in Eastern Washington in 1994.  Jay Inslee was originally from there before carpetbagging to Seattle in 98.

[Dgov]

Final result by CD
1st: 53.0-45.5 (D+7.5)
2nd: 47.0-51.7 (R+4.5)
3rd: 45.1-53.0 (R+7.9)
4th: 30.4-68.4 (R+37.9)
5th: 38.4-59.7 (R+21.3)
6th: 50.8-47.5 (D+3.3)
7th: 78.0-20.6 (D+57.5)
8th: 45.5-53.0 (R+7.5)
9th: 49.5-48.7 (D+0.7)
Total: 48.5-49.9 (R+1.3)

Don't really want to post the LDs at the moment, but the ones within ten points were:  1st, 5th, 10th, 19th, 23rd, 24th, 26th, 28th, 30th, 35th, 38th, 41st, 44th, 45th, 47th, 48th & 49th.

I didn't know the 9th was so close.  Is this a potential target come November?

[Dgov]

Could've been but your nominee is a flop.

Well, that's the thing about Wave elections.  They tend to turn flops into Congressman.

[Dgov]

In addition to the hee-larious 15 point lead for Murray (with leaners), the new Elway Poll spews out the following:

I-1107 Candy tax repeal
Yes 54%
No 33%

Without leaners, it's even worse (40-17).

I-1053 Requiring two-thirds majority for tax increases
Yes 49%
No 34%

Even a plurality of Democrats now support this.

I-1098 Income tax
Yes 41%
No 48%

Support is falling, and the income gap is rising; Eastside folks are sensing class warfare.

I-1100 Liquor #1
Yes 42%
No 44%

Undecided voters are starting to turn against this measure.

I-1105 Liquor #2
Yes 36%
No 45%

Independents don't like it.

I-1082 Worker's comp privatization
Yes 31%
No 40%

Other than a few people philosophically oriented toward opposition or support, most people seem confused.

http://www.publicola.net/2010/10/11/poll-candy-tax-repeal-gains-ground-four-initiatives-losing/

Also, lol @ 71% of people understanding I-1082 enough to be decided.

Well, if this same poll had Murray up by 15, then isn't it fair to say that the totals for most of these propositions are at least a couple of points left of where they will actually be on election day?

[Dgov]

Also: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M8VMcRqtdSI&feature=player_embedded

"The wealthy pay more. The rest of us pay less."

"The Wealthy pay more.  But then there's less of them to pay at all"

[Dgov]

The children speak!

http://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/mock/Results.aspx

What's the Difference between Initiative B and Initiative 1098?  Do they both create some sort of Income tax and just different kinds, or what?

[Dgov]

The children speak!

http://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/mock/Results.aspx

What's the Difference between Initiative B and Initiative 1098?  Do they both create some sort of Income tax and just different kinds, or what?

I think the lettered initiatives were just simplified versions of real initiatives they asked the young kids.  Before they asked them silly school uniform-type questions.  Those are never lettered initiatives on the ballot.

Hmm, so 1st-5th graders oppose an Income tax by more than 20 points . . .

[Dgov]

Turnout estimate: 2,553,428/3,601,152 (70.91%)

Wow.  So that means that almost as many people turned out in 2010 as in 2012?  Obama won the state about 1.6 Million to 1.1 Million IIRC.