Internal Show Dems in Trouble in IL-2

[Dgov]

I'm very hesitant to believe this poll myself, as the chances of an upset here are minuscule at best, but according to a telephone poll, Jesse Jackson Jr. is in trouble for his re-election.

http://www.isaac4honesty.com/news.asp?artid=94

http://www.flickr.com/photos/isaachayesdotcom/4920662950/sizes/l/in/photostream/

Apparently 53% say they would vote for Issac Hayes over Jesse Jackson, although it is after mentioning Jackson's possible role in the Blago scandals, and probably under polls Jackson's strength with the Urban poor of Chicago' South side.  But if this number is anywhere close to accurate, the Democrats are in trouble.  Obama won this district in 2008 with 90% of the vote.

[Dgov]

Ah thanks.

I also recall reading that it voted around 45% for George HW Bush in 1988. It wasn't as Democratic as a district as everyone speaks of it back then. I mean Democratic enough to vote for any Democrat who wasn't a blatant criminal maybe, but that wasn't the case. Cao actually won a far bigger upset. That was more like if Tom DeLay stayed in the race in 2006 but was still defeated by Lampson.

Back in 1988 it contained Southern Cook County IIRC, and was far more suburban and therefore competitive than it is now.  Back then the 1st and 7th Districts covered most of the South side, and the former was over 80% black.