UK 2015 General Election by English county (user search)
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Author Topic: UK 2015 General Election by English county  (Read 1642 times)
YL
YorkshireLiberal
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« on: November 24, 2021, 03:36:37 AM »

I'd be interested to see when East Sussex last voted Labour in total.

Never.  They didn't in 1997 or 2001, and had only ever won one seat in Sussex before 1997 (Brighton Kemptown in 1964 and 1966).
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YL
YorkshireLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2021, 05:11:46 AM »

So which other counties has Labour never carried?

Of course this is muddied by the changing definition of "county" (e.g. Labour has obviously never carried Surrey on its current boundaries but I assume things are different once you include large parts of London).  The map above uses the 1974 boundaries, which I resent for including H*mb*rs*d*, but I guess it's hard to use more up to date ones as Brigg & Goole crosses the East Riding/Lincs boundary.
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YL
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« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2021, 01:02:10 PM »

A quick check with the results on Wikipedia suggests the Tories carried Hertfordshire (including Barnet or not) in both 1966 and October 1974.
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YL
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« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2021, 01:46:55 PM »

If someone could give a brief outline of how/when the counties change meaningfully enough, we can think of some solutions.

Well, the various creations of unitary authorities and the changes to ceremonial counties in the 1990s (including abolition of Avon, Cleveland and Humberside and restoration of Rutland and Herefordshire) aren't, for the most part, that important for this purpose as the last review mostly grouped unitary authorities with their parent county, continued to use Cleveland and the Humber area as groups and still treated Rutland with Leicestershire.  So I see why you used the 1974 map even though it has a couple of features I dislike...

The 1974 changes were implemented in the review which came into force in 1983.

There were a few changes in the 1960s, most obviously the creation of Greater London and the mergers of Huntingdonshire with the Soke of Peterborough and mini-Cambridgeshire with the Isle of Ely.  (The two resulting counties were then merged into modern Cambridgeshire in 1974, with Peterborough regaining independence as a unitary in the 1990s, though the boundaries aren't the same as the old Soke.)  There were also quite a few expansions and changes to county boroughs, some of which affected county boundaries.  These affected the constituency map from the review which came in for February 1974.

Several historic counties were split pre-1974 (or pre-1965): Yorkshire into the Ridings, Lincolnshire into the Parts, Suffolk and Sussex both into East and West, Northants into Northants "proper" and the Soke of Peterborough, Cambridgeshire into Cambridgeshire "proper" and the Isle of Ely.  But not all small pre-1974 counties were treated separately for Parliamentary purposes: the Soke of Peterborough was grouped with (the rest of) Northamptonshire, and Rutland was grouped with the Parts of Kesteven.

(That wasn't a "brief outline".  Sorry!)
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YL
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« Reply #4 on: November 25, 2021, 02:44:51 AM »
« Edited: November 25, 2021, 02:48:04 AM by YL »

In a couple of places the constituency boundaries don't line up with the 'ceremonial county' boundaries - this was the case for Bristol and Gloucestershire in 2005 and for the East Riding and Lincolnshire in all of those elections. And for Teesside as well, come to think of it.

Also Leicestershire/Rutland of course, and in 2005 actually also Gloucestershire and Somerset: the old Wansdyke seat included part of South Gloucestershire.  Oh, and also Herefordshire/Worcestershire in 2005, as part of Worcestershire was in the Leominster seat.  I presume that in all cases it's actually clear enough who carried the county.

And for the next set of boundaries there'll be much more of this...
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