YL
YorkshireLiberal
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« on: May 07, 2016, 02:02:57 AM » |
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(All comparisons with 2011.)
East Belfast: count complete, DUP 3, Alliance 2, UUP 1. Alliance gain from PUP.
North Belfast: count complete, DUP 3, SF 2, SDLP 1. No change.
South Belfast: count complete, DUP 2, SDLP 1, SF 1, Alliance 1, Green 1. DUP and Greens gain from UUP and SDLP.
West Belfast: count complete, SF 4, PBP 1, SDLP 1. PBP gain from SF. The SDLP margin over the DUP on the last count was 4430 to 4341.
East Antrim: 2 DUP and 1 UUP elected so far. An Alliance candidate is about to be eliminated, and transfers should then elect the other Alliance candidate; after that it's between SF, UKIP, DUP3 and UUP2 for two seats.
North Antrim: Clearly going to be 3 DUP, 1 TUV, 1 UUP, 1 SF (no change). There are surpluses to transfer but they're not going to help the SDLP candidate.
South Antrim: count complete, DUP 3, SF 1, Alliance 1, UUP 1. No change.
North Down: 2 DUP elected. There's some way to go; they've only just eliminated the Tory. But I think the other four seats will be DUP3, UUP, Green and Alliance, which would be no change.
South Down: count complete, SDLP 2, SF 2, DUP 1, UUP 1. No change.
Fermanagh & South Tyrone: 2 DUP and 1 SF elected. A UUP elimination should elect the other UUP candidate; then I expect the other two SF candidates to be elected; there probably aren't enough Unionist transfers for the SDLP. So another likely no change.
Foyle: count complete, SDLP 2, SF 2, DUP 1, PBP 1. PBP gain from SDLP.
Lagan Valley: count complete, DUP 3, UUP 2, Alliance 1. UUP gain from DUP.
East Derry: 2 DUP elected so far. I think the most likely outcome is for the other four to be Ind Sugden, SF, DUP3 and SDLP, which would only be a change of independent.
Mid Ulster: count complete, SF 3, DUP 1, SDLP 1, UUP 1. No change party-wise, but Ian McCrea, the son of the truly awful William, lost his seat to another DUP candidate.
Newry & Armagh: : count complete, SF 3, DUP 1, SDLP 1, UUP 1. No change.
"Strangford": count complete, DUP 3, UUP 2, Alliance 1. No change. The SDLP still can't get in here; they were over 500 short on the final count.
West Tyrone: no-one elected yet. However, it looks to me like SF 3, SDLP 1, DUP 1, UUP 1, which would be no change.
Upper Bann: 2 DUP elected so far. I think this looks like no change too, which would mean the remaining four seats being 2 UUP and one each for the SDLP and SF; there are probably enough transfers around to get the SDLP ahead of SF2.
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