The Egypt 2011/12 Election Thread (user search)
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  The Egypt 2011/12 Election Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Egypt 2011/12 Election Thread  (Read 4265 times)
Insula Dei
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« on: December 04, 2011, 12:09:07 PM »

They're pretty much the liberal districts judging from the referendum: Cairo, Alexandria, Port Said, Red Sea.

Alexandria is a stronghold of the Islamists, actually. Quite true that Cairo, Port Said and the Red Sea resorts were likely to be the best results for the liberals, though.

Perhaps, but again, judging solely from the referendum, Alexandria was more liberal than the country as a whole. Given that the referendum was a proxy for liberal/conservative.

It's my understanding that lots of liberals (or more accurately, as that's what everybod really means to say: secularists) didn't vote 'liberal' there, because the issues at the heart of the referendum didn't seem worth risking the revolution over. Shouldn't that mean we ought to expect secular parties to outperform the score we would expect based solely on the referendum?

Courtesy the Something Awful thread on the Arab Spring, the final results of the first (of three) waves of voting is in:

(Ham's actually posting this from Cairo: if you disagree with his assessment of the Muslim Brotherhood...well...a lot of people do, but he actually sees them):


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Those qualifications seem solid to me, from what little I know about the situation on the ground. Seems like the MB is eating the fruits of a) playing the hand they've been dealt to perfection and b) building up tons of credibility as an opposition party over the past few decades.
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