2004 Democratic Primary

[emergingDmajority1]

the market is starting to fall again, and several companies came out the other day and said they were lowering expectations for the holiday season.

dollar also falls to record lows against the Euro.

[emergingDmajority1]

What are we exactly ticking to? Another bubble bursting?

Indeed, these are great numbers the media is hyping. Good for Bush. When the 7.2 came out people's expectations and confidence did rise.

They tell us the economy is improving, ok, WHEN WILL WE FEEL IT?

Not surprising this comes out now, considering this is a make or break holiday season. Most of the major retailers say expectations are low so they have to encourage people to BUY BUY BUY! Why else would Santa appear in October?

[emergingDmajority1]

I sure hope Bush declares victory realy early on the economy. Puts up a nice "mission accomplished - economy restored" banner. Then we'll see another spectacular fall.

I've never seen such spin come out of Washington when it comes to economic news. It's like they're expecting us to forget 3 terrible years. This is what we call a "dead cat bounce" drop it out of a 50 story window and it's bound to bounce up a little.

it's like "jobless claims down"

well gee, they're still so damn high!

here's some more news to make sure this post is "fair and balanced"

New home sales fall 3.5%
http://money.cnn.com/2003/11/26/news/economy/home_sales.reut/index.htm

Consumer spending flat in October
 
Personal spending unchanged, slightly weaker than expected; incomes rose 0.4 percent.
 
Retail sales fall
 
Key measure of consumer activity down more than expected in October as auto sales slump.
 
http://money.cnn.com/2003/11/14/news/economy/retail_sales/index.htm

Industrial output growth slows
http://money.cnn.com/2003/11/14/news/economy/industrial/index.htm

Holiday spending may disappoint
 
Consumer group says more Americans are planning to spend less than what they spent last year.
November 25, 2003: 1:24 PM EST
 


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. holiday shopping season may not live up to economists' robust expectations, a survey out Tuesday suggested, with more Americans saying they would cut spending from last year's already weak levels.
 
http://money.cnn.com/2003/11/25/news/economy/holiday_shopping.reut/index.htm

[emergingDmajority1]

New Jersey as a republican state? are you crazy?!?!!? I take offense to that


Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Oregon, and Wisconsin will also stay Dem. There is no evidence those states will swing to Bush. Just wishful thinking.

all 4 of these are Dem locks.

California (55)
Illinois (21)
Michigan (17)
Washington (11)


even Dean can win NJ

and if it's Gephardt/Edwards, we retain every state from 2000, perhaps gaining in Missouri and NH

[emergingDmajority1]

the GOP is dead in NJ, take it from somebody that lives here.

They launched an all out attack on McGreevy in the months prior to election day, to the point where everybody's mailbox was overflowing with attack ads. Dems still won control of the state.

[emergingDmajority1]

That's why this "Gep aide intimidates unions" thing bothers me, we can't afford to let Dean pull away with it or we're toast.

I've lost faith in Kerry, I'm thinking he would probably do worse than Dean in 04, talk about a complete collapse....

[emergingDmajority1]

Jobless claims rise
 
New weekly claims for unemployment benefits higher last week than Wall Street forecasts.
 
http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/04/news/economy/jobless/index.htm

this is weekly jobless claims, it got buried today. Tomorrow they're waiting for better numbers I hear...

Retailers still seek holiday cheer
 
Discounters Wal-Mart and Target post sales gains, but department stores continue to disappoint.
December 4, 2003: 3:08 PM EST
By Parija Bhatnagar, CNN/Money Staff Writer
 


NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Major U.S. retailers released November sales results Thursday showing that consumers overall were more value-conscious than ever as the holiday shopping season got under way.

 http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/04/news/companies/retail_sales/index.htm

[emergingDmajority1]

there was a rise in employment for November, though it was a small one, about 57,000, it takes about 120,000-140,000 per month to keep up with the growing population.