Nichlemn
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,920
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« on: January 25, 2019, 07:51:40 AM » |
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Argument for the House: There appears to be a larger pro-GOP bias in the House map than the Electoral College, such that a 2% Dem PV win would likely win them the Presidency, but lose the House. Also, it appears that House elections are becoming more nationalised.
Argument for the Presidency: Primarily incumbency advantage. (Consider how Republicans did a couple of points better in 2012 and 2016 than they dd in the Presidency).
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