Opinion of Nate Silver

[Nichlemn]

FF. The hate he gets from some here is pretty funny, it seems like some people have a grudge against him making a prediction against their favoured candidate once (most notably, recently claiming that Clinton isn't a clear favourite in the 2016 general election).

I don't know if his predictions are well-calibrated. But no-one can really know that, there hasn't yet been a large enough a sample size - but his results to date are pretty good.

It's his analysis and the underlying logic for his predictions are where he shines IMO. There's an awful lot of really terrible prediction out there (including in these forums) which Nate thoroughly debunks. Super cherry-picked, small sample sizes, or even completely baseless assertions. If only everyone in our prediction forums were required to read a selection of Silver posts and/or chapters from his book, it might help a lot.   

And most of his critics don't have any actual substantive criticisms about methodological flaws, they're  usually just thinly veiled whining like "Nate said X would happen with 67% probability, and it didn't! He obviously sucks!"