To retake a chamber, what would be the lead?
~8 points, but it's hard to say for certain. A lot of people say they prefer one party but then vote for their incumbent of the other party.
Democrats were leading by a similar 45/43 edge going into November 2012 and still ended up with just 35% of the total Assembly seats.
Their lead is going to have to be at least 10-11 points before they can seriously contest either chamber. Thats how brutal the maps are.
But how did they do in the actual popular vote?
