2024 South African general election, 29 May:

[Yelnoc]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/20/jacob-zuma-not-eligible-to-run-for-south-africa-parliament-court-rules

Jacob Zuma not eligible to run for South African parliament, court rules
Ex-president’s jail sentence precludes him from standing for new MK party in decision that could affect general election results

Big news! Looking at polling from before his new party enters the race, it sounds like this could benefit the EFF the most. Does that sound right?

EDIT:
I misunderstood. Zuma's party will still be on the ballot, he just would not be eligible to become president.

[Yelnoc]

And we have a new poll out today as well. This of course included Zuma's party. ANC still under 50% but with a slight bounce compared to that Ipsos poll.

https://www.enca.com/videos/2024-elections-latest-enca-poll-puts-ancs-support-434

[Yelnoc]

While the ANC+DA coalition (or confidence-and-supply arrangement) looks most likely, ANC+EFF isn't far off a majority. Which of the minor parties would most likely be tapped to complete coalition if ANC's left does win out?