Utah, PPP, Republican primary voters -- Romney or nothing?

[Yelnoc]

46% unfavorable for Huntsman? 80% approval rating as governor? WTF?

I can imagine the Republican primary voter subset is a less satisfied with Huntsman than the state as a whole, but a poll showing it at that level does seem a little odd.

It's a sample size of 406.  Out of a state of nearly 3 million.  I'm calling it a statistical outlier.

[Yelnoc]

It's a sample size of 406.  Out of a state of nearly 3 million.

FWIW, a sample size of 406 given a population of 3,000,000 means the margin of error of the poll is merely 4.9% (in the usual 95% confidence interval).

Sure, this could be an outlier, but even the 99% confidence interval is only +/- 6.4%.

That sounds great but think about it.  Road construction could conceivably block every single one of those people from going to the polls.

Call me odd, but I treat polls with a sample size of under 1000 people as little more then fun numbers.  Pbrower's map is a fairly good indicator of why.