2012 Presidential Election TL

[Yelnoc]

What is the number of delegates necessary to win the nomination?

I'm excited for the GOP convention.

[Yelnoc]

Rooting for Mitch on this one (though his chances are looking slimmer). The GOP needs fresh, proven faces.

Me too, though his only chance is as a compromise candidate if the electors are deadlocked between Romney and Gingrich.

[Yelnoc]

Go Mitch!

[Yelnoc]

What's in the background behind Romney in that first picture?

I predict the convention will deadlock, especially once Pataki endorses Daniels (My fingers are crossed) putting Daniels in second place with 818 delegates.  Eventually Gingrich drops out without endorsing anyone and Daniels gains a slim majority on the ballot.

[Yelnoc]

Delegate Count
Gingrich 918 (Green)
Romney 718 (Red)
Daniels 562 (Yellow)
Pataki 277 (Brown)
Johnson 41 {Delegates Transferred to Daniels}
Snowe 23 (Blue) {Delegates Transferred to Pataki}
DeMint 6   {Delegates Transferred to Gingrich}

Daniels' 562 delegates + Pataki's 277 = 839 delegates. That would pretty effectively put Daniels in second.

I misread the last post and switched Gingrich and Romney, but this is what I meant.  The question is, who would Romney endorse when he dropped out (if he endorsed either candidate).

[Yelnoc]

Nice update, hopefully the next one will be the convention.

[Yelnoc]

I think a Gingrich-Anybody ticket will lose to Hillary.  Still have my fingers crossed for Daniels; Romney's actions make me think he doesn't have a chance come the convention.  I guess it really all rests on who Pataki endorses.

[Yelnoc]

But Pataki dropped out.  I mean, I understand how a compromise candidate works but I don't know how much credibility Pataki would have after bowing out.  The problem with Pataki is that Romney isn't going anywhere and Gingrich would be miffed by Pataki rejecting his VP offer and than turning around and putting his name back on the ballot.  Mitch is the only guy at this point that might fold, though I could see him being a legitamite compromise candidate if Pataki's entrance causes and even bigger deadlock.  After all, the party bosses aren't going to let the ballots run on for ever for fear of damaging their general election campaign.

Anyway, good update, looking forward to more.

[Yelnoc]

Oh...I get it.  Gingrich is the GOP sacrificial lamb so that Daniels can take out Hillary in 2016....

[Yelnoc]

Well, Gingrich is not off to a great start but there's still a ways to go.  I like the Russia note; a lot of election timelines make the mistake of not mentioning external events which often decide elections.

[Yelnoc]

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I sense foreshadowing....

[Yelnoc]

Last update and election results hopefully out this week

Awesome, can't wait.