UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Campaign Thread) (user search)
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  UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Campaign Thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Campaign Thread)  (Read 164107 times)
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,394
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

« on: April 21, 2015, 11:09:57 AM »


Obama endorsing Miliband inc. Tongue
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Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,394
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2015, 02:57:04 PM »

Interesting graphic on the Electoral Calculus website about how voting intentions have shifted since the 2010 general election.

Each figure represents 1% of the electorate.

One thing it doesn't seem to show is any migration from the Conservatives to Labour! Cheesy



What could have possibly happened to make anyone move their ideology so far to vote Conservative to Green?
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Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,394
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2015, 03:24:15 AM »



You can interpret that quote how ever you like...

Then afterwards, Ed calls Nicola and asks: "Do you think they bought it?"

"Yeah, you were awesome. You almost convinced me."

Then they laugh and laugh and laugh.

I tend to think that if there is going to be a SNP landslide in Scotland then a very different behind-the-scenes deal might be in the works, that of a CON-SNP government.  If SNP wins 55-59 seats with a majority of the vote share in Scotland and the CON beats LAB by a solid 15+ seats then a CON-SNP deal might emerge.  The basis of such an alliance would be both a Scotland Independence referendum in Scotland as well as a EU referendum in UK.  CON cannot get LD to agree to a EU referendum and SNP cannot get LAB to agreed to a Scotland Independence referendum.  SNP would in fact benefit from holding both referendums on the same say and would urge Scotland to vote for independence since there was a risk that UK would leave EU.  CON would benefit from a rump UK where it could dominate England.   

While electorally good for the long term, I don't think the Conservatives want their legacy to be the dissolution of the Union. Tongue
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