joece
Newbie
Posts: 6
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« on: September 08, 2010, 10:55:51 PM » |
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In this scenario, the following states would most likely flip:
1) New Jersey (D to R): High amounts of support for Giuliani amongst suburban moderates erases Richardson's advantage in the urban parts of the state. Giuliani 50- Richardson 49.
2) Arizona (R to D): No McCain on the ticket and sky high Hispanic turnout=decisive Richardson victory. Richardson 52-Giuliani 47.
3) West Virginia (R to D): The reality is Obama's race played a factor in how West Virginia voted in 2008. Richardson also probably would have more appeal to the Appalachian electorate than Obama had. This is a traditionally Democratic state that would most likely return to its roots in this scenario. Richardson 53-Giuliani 46.
4) Montana (R to D): Richardson's Western appeal wins out as Giuliani struggles to relate to Montana voters. Richardson 52- Giuliani 47.
5) North Carolina (D to R): No Obama to boost African American and inner city turnout in places like Durham=narrow Giuliani victory. Giuliani 51- Richardson 48.
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