Giant Saguaro
TheGiantSaguaro
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,903
Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: 3.83
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« on: August 03, 2004, 06:57:01 PM » |
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I don't know, but I'll say one thing about conventions - don't tell Bill Clinton, Bush 41, or Al Gore that they're over-rated. The conventions assisted all three men greatly, put all 3 in the lead, and 2 of the 3 in the lead for good, and by fairly large margins. Conventions almost always give the candidate a bounce - it's just up to the candidate to keep bouncing.
All things being normal, I'd say the month between the conventions helps Bush - assuming he uses it to his advantage, especially considering that he's got a window mainly through a decided spending advantage in which he can hit Kerry. Plus, aside from 1992, I think it usually helps the person going last the most and I don't know to what degree Kerry has impressed everyone. Bush has got to talk up the economy and go after Kerry on his votes in the Senate. Bush has a window right now, so we'll see. Because if he does not take full advantage of it now, he is WRONG.
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