Are the Agang voters (who I understand are a very small number of middle-class blacks, maybe 1-3% of the vote) likely to follow Ramphele into the DA? Or will they vote for someone else, or scatter?
Most important question is if Whites will support her or go to another alternative. Freedom Front can be weakened, as they accepted to support ANC.
And what if ANC loses majority, could South Africa see a repeat of Ireland 1948, with another parties, DA, COPE and even Malema's party joining to government?