New Hampshire Poll: Giuliani leads; Hillary/Obama in a statistical dead heat (user search)
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  New Hampshire Poll: Giuliani leads; Hillary/Obama in a statistical dead heat (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Poll: Giuliani leads; Hillary/Obama in a statistical dead heat  (Read 8985 times)
CARLHAYDEN
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Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« on: March 07, 2007, 12:49:27 AM »

http://www.heraldsun.com/nationworld/elections/16-826482.cfm

This poll was taken by Suffolk University between Feb. 24-28.  212 Democrats & 199 Republicans. 

Margin of Error:  +/- 4 pts


REPUBLICANS:

Rudy Giuliani 37 percent

John McCain 27 percent

Mitt Romney 17 percent

Ron Paul 2 percent

Tom Tancredo 2 percent

No opinion 12 percent






DEMOCRATS:

Hillary Rodham Clinton 28 percent

Barack Obama 26 percent

John Edwards 17 percent

Joe Biden 3 percent

Dennis Kucinich 2 percent

Bill Richardson 2 percent

No opinion 17 percent

Sorry Mike, but if this poll were conducted by the very best firm in the world, the MOE for Democrats is 6%, whereas it is 7% for Republicans.

Don't place much credibility in this poll.
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CARLHAYDEN
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*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2007, 01:11:42 AM »
« Edited: March 07, 2007, 01:23:23 AM by CARLHAYDEN »

Sorry Mike, but if this poll were conducted by the very best firm in the world, the MOE for Democrats is 6%, whereas it is 7% for Republicans.

How do you figure that?

Look at the number of respondents.

Knowing that you seem to reflexively disagree with just about every thing I way, here is an explanation from another site.  I am also providing the url for your edification.

There is a nice table at the site:

http://resolutions.co.nz/sample_sizes.htm.

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CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2007, 12:02:56 PM »

Look at the number of respondents.

Knowing that you seem to reflexively disagree with just about every thing I way, here is an explanation from another site.  I am also providing the url for your edification.

There is a nice table at the site:

http://resolutions.co.nz/sample_sizes.htm.

I wasn't reflexively disagreeing with you.  I don't understand how MoE is calculated, and assumed I was missing something less obvious than what I missed.

Thanks for the link.  I've bookmarked it!  Smiley

There's a simple way of calculating it: 0.98/square root(n). (n is the sample size.)

Correct.

That's the way I did it, but I gave to Alcon the complete (complex) method along with a citation and table.
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CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2009, 11:07:10 PM »

Look at the number of respondents.

Knowing that you seem to reflexively disagree with just about every thing I way, here is an explanation from another site.  I am also providing the url for your edification.

There is a nice table at the site:

http://resolutions.co.nz/sample_sizes.htm.

I wasn't reflexively disagreeing with you.  I don't understand how MoE is calculated, and assumed I was missing something less obvious than what I missed.

Thanks for the link.  I've bookmarked it!  Smiley

Just thought I'd update this, which Alcon forgot.
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