Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie (user search)
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  Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie (search mode)
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Author Topic: Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie  (Read 43288 times)
CARLHAYDEN
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Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« on: May 18, 2005, 09:50:32 AM »

Actually, the Democrats have been following the QuadCali strategdy somewhat (see The Real Majority) and CAN win the Presidency without carrying a single southern state.

However, this requires they carry most of the Midwest and just about all of the Northeast as well as the Pacific Coast.

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CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2005, 09:11:03 PM »

While I agree that the core party identification in the whole national electorate is essentially equal (I think I made this point about nine months ago), the Democrats have a problem in that the vote is NOT equally distributed around the country.

Even though Bush won an absolute majority across the nation, Kerry had (if memory serves me correctly) more congressional districts carried by a two to one ratio than did Bush.

The long term result is that the Republicans will have a stronger 'farm' system to develop future candidates (you'd be amazed at how many major politicians started out as state legislators).
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CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,638


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2005, 09:40:01 PM »
« Edited: June 09, 2005, 09:45:55 PM by CARLHAYDEN »

Reread my post.

While Bush won more total Congressional Districts, Kerry won more districts by a two to one margin!

Look at a brief posting of 2004 for Congressional districts in 2004.

Bush                                    Kerry

District 3, UT 83.69%           District 9, CA 85.90%
District 6, AL 78.73%           District 8, CA 84.55% 
District 11, TX 78.05%         District 2, IL 83.71% 
District 2, UT 77.66%           District 7, IL 83.06% 
District 13, TX 77.22%         District 33, CA 82.82%


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