1944 --> 1948 swing map. A number of weird patterns -- no, FL is not a mistake, and neither is MA. Very interesting to see such a huge divide between SD and ND (also unusual for a relatively modern-ish election to see such a huge divide between KY and TN, but it makes sense in this context).
Note that the national swing was from D+8 to D+5, or R>30, although in the decisive state the swing was larger (from D+6 to D+1, or R>40).
Most of the country actually did swing pretty hard to Dewey, including all the places where the media was, but the parts that swung to Truman actually also swung fairly hard, and by enough for Truman to still win. A very interesting pattern -- it didn't really end up being a realigning election because nothing ever looked like this again, but there's an enormous number of states with huge swings in one direction or another, and it feels like 1948
could have been a realignment.
