AL (Public Opinion Strategies) - DeSantis +18

[Vosem]

Is that pollster credible? Never heard of. Could be some Republican donor firm to push a narrative.

It is a Republican donor firm, which you would know if you had been poll-watching for a while, but at the same time if you had you would know that polls of every category (Republican donors/Democratic donors/neither) have shown DeSantis landslides and Trump landslides.

(Also, the way you can tell polls are meant to promote a narrative is if they show the candidate who paid for them narrowly down, such that they probably lose but you can save them by donating, or if they ask issue questions, particularly issue questions where something relevant to that issue happened recently so numbers are likely to be temporarily skewed. 'Some candidate somewhere is crushing some other candidate somewhere' is virtually never meant to promote a narrative.)

[Vosem]

Is that pollster credible? Never heard of. Could be some Republican donor firm to push a narrative.

It is a Republican donor firm, which you would know if you had been poll-watching for a while, but at the same time if you had you would know that polls of every category (Republican donors/Democratic donors/neither) have shown DeSantis landslides and Trump landslides.

(Also, the way you can tell polls are meant to promote a narrative is if they show the candidate who paid for them narrowly down, such that they probably lose but you can save them by donating, or if they ask issue questions, particularly issue questions where something relevant to that issue happened recently so numbers are likely to be temporarily skewed. 'Some candidate somewhere is crushing some other candidate somewhere' is virtually never meant to promote a narrative.)

It's not a "donor firm" (I've never heard this term used before and don't know what it's supposed to mean) - it is a polling firm that works for Republican candidates and groups (including whoever likely paid for this poll). We've partnered with them on bipartisan surveys many times before and they do good work.

It is a firm whose clients tend to be Republican politicians, and in particular fairly non-Trumpy ones. 'Donor firm' is kind of an odd turn of phrase but that's obviously what is meant, and there's no particular use denying it.