I mean, if this is for a county Democratic party, then Kelly+2 is actually pretty pathetic. Makes you suspect the reality is Kobach up single-digits, though Kelly is probably winning both of the competitive CDs very comfortably, so Davi(d)s should feel good about their odds.
This race, even with a third party, should not even be competitive in the first place. In a state as red (non-Atlas) as Kansas is, you’d think Kobach would be leading by at least double digits. But of course you see this in another way.
Disagree; Kansas has recently had popular Democratic Governors in Kathleen Sebelius and Mark Parkinson, and Kelly has received significantly more prominent support from moderate Republicans (outright endorsements from former Governors and Senators) than Sebelius or Parkinson did. Kobach is an unusually unpopular statewide official in a state where the overall administration is viewed as tremendously unpopular, and really should be losing.
If he is winning, it's only because he's being bailed out by the third-partiers. But still.
