Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)

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Some precincts in MO, especially in Jackson County, seem to be conducting recounts of their own accord. _trump's margin is about 0.2% right now and he's gained around 100 votes.

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LOL!

I believe an arab sounding delegate got beat by 2 Cruz delegates when the other 2 Trump candidates won quite easily.

I closed the tab so I dont remember which CD it was, someone can double check.

IL-6:
P. Minch (_trump): 35,046
B. Kois (_trump): 34,729
P. Brady (Kasich): 32,511
R. Sandack (Kasich): 32,024
A. Del Mar (Kasich): 30,756
N. Fakroddin (_trump): 30,305

IL-13:
D. Hartmann (_trump): 31,300
J. Kammer (Cruz): 29,932
M. Strang (Cruz): 29,707
N. Kammer (Cruz): 28,002
T. Gauen (_trump): 27,770
R. Sadiq (_trump): 24,787

[Vosem]

So, according to Erc's latest projections, Trump should win 37 delegates from Missouri, 52 from Illinois, and 29 from North Carolina.  This brings his total to 688 which is 549 shy of 1,237.  It is likely that Trump will end March less than 500 delegates away from the nomination if he can pull off Arizona where he is favored.  I'm giving Utah to Cruz since Rubio is out.  He still has a very doable path to the outright nomination and avoiding an open especially with a strong showing in Illinois tonight.

538 says he needs to be at 719 to be on track for the nomination by the end of tonight.

Does 538 have Trump WTA-ing NY and CA?  Because that looks increasingly likely in both states.

Cruz is favored to win California.

[Vosem]

So, according to Erc's latest projections, Trump should win 37 delegates from Missouri, 52 from Illinois, and 29 from North Carolina.  This brings his total to 688 which is 549 shy of 1,237.  It is likely that Trump will end March less than 500 delegates away from the nomination if he can pull off Arizona where he is favored.  I'm giving Utah to Cruz since Rubio is out.  He still has a very doable path to the outright nomination and avoiding an open especially with a strong showing in Illinois tonight.

538 says he needs to be at 719 to be on track for the nomination by the end of tonight.

Does 538 have Trump WTA-ing NY and CA?  Because that looks increasingly likely in both states.

Cruz is favored to win California.

UGH, one poll doesn't mean Cruz is favored, we had a new poll that had Trump way up, and it seems more plausible that Trump is head

One poll had Cruz ahead, the other had _trump narrowly beating Cruz with high undecideds. California Republicans are also exactly the sort to be attracted to Ted Cruz.