Vosem
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Posts: 15,641
Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: August 27, 2012, 05:46:49 PM » |
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SurveyUSA frequently has funky crosstabs but good overall numbers; the key thing here is that this is a poll of registered voters. Nate Silver thinks the registered/likely gap will be unusually large this year. That Obama and Romney are tied among registered voters is not merely plausible but is probably the 'right' answer; it's just that that means is Romney is 2-5 points ahead among likely voters.
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