WI-Rasmussen: Obama+4

[Vosem]

Considering all the Walker business, Wisconsin could be very close in 2012, since both Democrats and Republicans are very, very energized to turn out. And that Republicans seem to be winning (the various recalls, at least).

[Vosem]

1) Walker is very likely to win
2) the GOP US Senate candidate (probably Thompson) is likely to win
3) Obama v Romney is hard to call, could break either way.   

I don't know. There haven't been any polls out since the video; I think Walker supporters may vote for him anyway, but it will energize the opposition. Thompson winning is likely, sure, but it's doubtful that it will be by more than a few percentage points. Same goes for Obama.