1984: Bentsen/Glenn vs. Reagan/Bush

[Bo]

Still a large Reagan win due to the economic recovery and the dramatically reduced inflation rate.

[Bo]

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Minnesota almost went to Reagan even with Mondale running. I give MA and RI to the dems because Mondale was a very poor candidate. I can't imagine anyone doing worse than he did.

Mondale was a crappy candidate and John Glenn was a true American hero. I can't see Glenn doing that badly.

[Bo]

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Minnesota almost went to Reagan even with Mondale running. I give MA and RI to the dems because Mondale was a very poor candidate. I can't imagine anyone doing worse than he did.

Mondale was a crappy candidate and John Glenn was a true American hero. I can't see Glenn doing that badly.

Right but he's not the candidate, Lloyd Bentsen is. He wasn't as bad either but Reagan is Reagan.

Bensten also wasn't nearly as bad of a candidate as Mondale was.

[Bo]

I really, really doubt Reagan was going to lose electoral votes in 1984. No incumbent president has won re-election with fewer electoral votes than his first election except Woodrow Wilson. It's an extremely rare case when something like that happens, and I don't think a wildly popular President (who was more popular than in 1980) was going to win re-election with less electoral votes than his first election. In conclusion, I don't see Reagan winning any less than 489 electoral votes.

Carter lost some EVs due to Anderson running. A good Democratic candidate might thus have gotten more EVs than Carter since no strong third-party liberal candidate would have run in 1984.