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Author Topic: Idea  (Read 1987 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« on: April 03, 2010, 08:40:31 PM »

What do all of you think about having a redistricting competition here, like at Swing State Project?
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2010, 09:08:12 PM »

What do all of you think about having a redistricting competition here, like at Swing State Project?

Would you actually do it or are you just the ideas guy?

I suppose I could be the judge in the competition.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #2 on: April 04, 2010, 01:02:36 PM »

This would be after the Census comes out, right?

It could either be before the Census comes out or after. Dave's Redistricting Application already has 2008 census numbers for almost all the states, and those numbers are going to be pretty close to the 2010 numbers, especially consdiering that the fianncialc risis and Great Recession slowed down migration in 2008 and 2009 (and possibly 2010 as well).
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #3 on: April 04, 2010, 06:58:51 PM »

Not true. The Census estimates do a very poor job of estimating population changes within counties, both in terms of differential growth rates (one part of a county might be growing very fast while another part is not growing at all or even in decline, yet Dave's Redistricting would not reflect this) and in terms of race and ethnicity (a racial group may be growing rapidly in one part of a county while continuing to have no presence in other parts, yet Dave's Redistricting must assume equal growth county-wide--metro Atlanta is the most notable place where this is a problem).

Actually, I used Dave's Redistricting App a lot and the growth there in different precincts within the same county are different. I don't see why population estimates must show that each precinct within a county must grow at the same pace, because Dave's Redistricting App. doesn't show this.
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