What Should Hubert Humprey Have Done in Order to Win in 1968? (user search)
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  What Should Hubert Humprey Have Done in Order to Win in 1968? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What Should Hubert Humprey Have Done in Order to Win in 1968?  (Read 1941 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« on: January 03, 2010, 02:57:00 AM »

I'd say distance himself from LBJ's Vietnam policy sooner and also talk much more about the good economy and JFK's and LBJ's good economic record. Unemployment in 1968 was very low (at about 3.5%) and inflation was also low (between 4-5%).
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Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2010, 09:44:13 PM »

What about talking more about the good economy? I'm sure the economy mattered to many voters in 1968. If Humphrey would have talked more about JFK's and LBJ's economic record and about how he'll continue it, I'm pretty sure he would have gotten some voters that were unhappy with Vietnam due to their desire to keep the prosperity going.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2010, 09:49:18 PM »
« Edited: January 03, 2010, 09:57:42 PM by HawkishDemocrat »

What about talking more about the good economy? I'm sure the economy mattered to many voters in 1968. If Humphrey would have talked more about JFK's and LBJ's economic record and about how he'll continue it, I'm pretty sure he would have gotten some voters that were unhappy with Vietnam due to their desire to keep the prosperity going.

Or he could have just opposed the Vietnam War entirely.


Didn't he kinda do that during the campaign, though? He said he'd end the war as soon as possible.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2010, 11:13:08 PM »

What about talking more about the good economy? I'm sure the economy mattered to many voters in 1968. If Humphrey would have talked more about JFK's and LBJ's economic record and about how he'll continue it, I'm pretty sure he would have gotten some voters that were unhappy with Vietnam due to their desire to keep the prosperity going.
People are not only voting on the economy. It would have given him maybe some voters more, but not enought to win.

Humphrey only needed about 1.5% more of the popular vote to flip in order to win (since that would have flipped NJ, MO, and AK, and sent the election to the House, where Humphrey would have won). Talking more about the good economy (unemployment was at a 15-year low in 1968) might have allowe Humphrey to get a 1.5-2% swing of the popular vote in his favor.
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2010, 12:13:11 AM »

What about talking more about the good economy? I'm sure the economy mattered to many voters in 1968. If Humphrey would have talked more about JFK's and LBJ's economic record and about how he'll continue it, I'm pretty sure he would have gotten some voters that were unhappy with Vietnam due to their desire to keep the prosperity going.
People are not only voting on the economy. It would have given him maybe some voters more, but not enought to win.

Humphrey only needed about 1.5% more of the popular vote to flip in order to win (since that would have flipped NJ, MO, and AK, and sent the election to the House, where Humphrey would have won). Talking more about the good economy (unemployment was at a 15-year low in 1968) might have allowe Humphrey to get a 1.5-2% swing of the popular vote in his favor.

The people didn't really care about the economy. They were more concerned with the butchering of American soldiers in Vietnam. That's why they elected Nixon, who had been able to conceal himself as the "Peace" candidate.

Many people didn't care, but many people also did care about the economy and if Humphrey talked more about the issue he might have won much more undecided voters, for many of whom it could have been the decisive factor.
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