National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2020)

[RBH]

here's the town map for the 1980 Vermont Republican primary

[RBH]

The Beamgard map isn't a stunner



if only Beamgard had run in Nebraska, then he would have had 2 or 3 counties north of Rawlins where he topped 10%

Hauptil got 24% in Mitchell County and 11% in his home county.

Kerrey's best showings were in two counties bordering Nebraska.

Leave it to Kansas to have primaries for two uncompetitive years, and not for 1988 or any other year.

[RBH]

any problem areas where the people in that state haven't helped out much at all? or areas where state sources are needed? just curious, since there might be some areas where some member of the site has access to numbers

[RBH]

Did you try through this for NM? http://www.nmstatelibrary.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=135&Itemid=306

[RBH]

uh....

when just photocopying everything in the box and sending it is more tolerable and timely...

yeah.

[RBH]

with finding 1992 results or entering info?

Also nice of Oregon to send the entire results pdf for 1968. It also has the Morse/Duncan Senate primary.

[RBH]

1976; did Wallace seriously win Boston?

Yes

Granted, it was a win with 28.7%

[RBH]

Here is an absolutely beautiful map; it's already one of my favorites: the Atlanta area from the 2008 Republican primary. You can really tell where the wealthy suburbs are, as Romney dominated them. McCain did well in the urban core, and Paul even had a pocket of strength in urban Atlanta.

That mess in Fulton County where a bunch of wild shade variations occurs is an area where there are very few whites, and therefore very few Republicans.

http://i405.photobucket.com/albums/pp131/rarohla/2008AtlantaAreaRepublicanPrimary.png

Refresh my memory as to which olors go with each candidate on this one. Thanks.

Huckabee - Orange
Romney - Green
McCain - Blue
Paul - Yellow

There's a fascinating split that goes on when you look at the Huckabee/Romney/McCain primaries from Jan-Feb 2008. Romney won a lot of suburban Republicans, Huckabee won a lot of rural Republicans, and McCain split the uprights and won areas and statewide.. at least in Missouri

[RBH]

I like how Romney did so well in Newt Gingrich's old district. 

That was only "his" district when he parachuted there in the nineties- his "real" district was the one centered around his home-turf in the Columbus area.

Nah, Gingrich's old district was Carrolton and areas south of Fulton and DeKalb (like Clayton and Henry Counties).

[RBH]

someone can make something of the Wayne County results

http://www.waynecounty.com/documents/elections_docs/pre1.pdf

Or maybe just take down all the results and map them by city/township

[RBH]

Cook County 2012 primary township map

[RBH]

I'm interested to see how TX-35 (Austin) turned out, since that was the only major city to vote for Sanders.  I'd also love to see if Cruz swept the Dallas area in number of congressional districts won.   

Texas Democrats don't allocate their delegates by Congressional district. They allocate delegates by Texas Senate district.

Clinton won 29 of 31 Texas Senate districts. The only districts carried by Sanders: SD14 (Austin, represented by Kirk Watson) and SD30 (Northwest of DFW, going to Wichita Falls, represented by Republican Craig Estes)

In the 11 districts represented by Democrats, Clinton won 67-31. Delegates: Clinton 45, Sanders 20

In the 20 districts represented by Republicans, Clinton won 64-35. Delegates: Clinton 50, Sanders 30

[RBH]

The precinct I used to represent in the Amherst Town Meeting was the only one in Amherst Trump won...

And the Democratic map really drives home how bizarre the geography on that side turned out. e.g. in the Five Colleges area Sanders's best Amherst precincts are the UMass ones but his best Northampton precincts aren't the Smith ones.

Dem Primary results from Seven Sisters college precincts

Mount Holyoke, Precinct D: Sanders 319, Clinton 248

Smith, Prec 2B: Sanders 316, Clinton 182 and Prec 4A: Sanders 372, Clinton 203.

Wellesley, Precinct G: Clinton 360, Sanders 176

Two things about the Wellesley results

1) Her best Wellesley result appears to be in Precinct F, winning 369-126. That precinct also hosts Babson College, a private business school

2) Obama defeated Clinton in Wellesley in 2008, despite that whole "Clinton is an alumni" thing.

I've thought there might be a Public/Private split for Sanders performance in college areas. Looking at results from Cambridge, where Clinton won..

Prec 2/2 (MIT): 153-94 Sanders
Prec 2/3 (MIT): 203-202 Clinton
Prec 7/2 (Harvard campus): 314-271 Clinton
Prec 7/3 (Harvard campus): 217-179 Clinton
Prec 8/1 (The Quad): 439-348 Clinton
Prec 10/2 (The Quad): 784-536 Clinton

Sanders did carry the precinct in Boston around Harvard Stadium

My theory on public/private might be hard to prove/disprove.. but it's that Sanders policies on free public college drives up his numbers on public college campuses that he doesn't see on private college campuses for obvious reasons.

It'd be interesting to see if Sanders numbers around smaller private colleges lag because those small private universities may fare badly if students could go to a public university for nothing/almost nothing. Since the Southern primaries ended, I'd think the best "well but" involves small private colleges getting hit by the idea (instead of talking about HBCUs).

[RBH]

extra datapoint for the Dem side: Sanders carried the Holy Cross campus (prec 6-4) 146-79 and Clark University (prec 8-3) 253-96. But Clinton won Worcester.

On the Rep side: Kasich carried Wellesley and Babson. Trump/Rubio tied at Smith. Trump carried Mount Holyoke. Rubio carried the MIT/Harvard precincts on his way to losing Cambridge. Trump carried Holy Cross with 32 of 75 votes and Clark U with 7 of 21 votes.

"College areas carried by Trump in the R Primary" seems like it'd be a fascinating list.

[RBH]

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii

Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"

[RBH]

Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii

Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"

So you're saying that people in Kalawao can vote, they just cast their ballots under Maui?

It appears Clinton won the Kalawao precinct (13-9) by a margin of 2 votes to 1 vote.

BTW, there's precinct results for the Hawaii Dem vote. I think realisticidealist might need to doublecheck the shapefiles for HI house districts that he uses though.

http://hawaiidemocrats.org/2016_ppp_results/

No precinct results from Niihau though.

[RBH]

the differences in vote totals from one house district to another kinda makes it harder to take the caucus system seriously.

District 34: 10455 votes on 11/6/2012, 68% turnout. 8110 votes in the August 2014 primary, 53% turnout. 493 votes cast in the caucus. Carried by Obama 7589-2694.

District 7: 9218 votes on 11/6/2012, 61% turnout. 5114 votes in the August 2014 primary, 35% turnout. 1241 votes cast in the caucus. Carried by Obama 6640-2553.

I'd think that the more urbanized a district was, the lower the turnout was for the Caucuses. Which would be the opposite of expectation considering travel time.

[RBH]

guessing the color shades change dramatically if you go by total vote.

Louisiana SOS says the Dem electorate was 53% Black/44% White. 28% turnout for AA voters and 20% turnout for white voters.

[RBH]

How did Sanders win so many precincts in Louisiana when Clinton won statewide with over 70% of the vote?

low vote totals in those precincts.

Also, Sanders won two parishes in the entire state. By margins of 132-123 and 184-136