NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (user search)
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  NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17%  (Read 8883 times)
RBH
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Posts: 2,216


« on: February 17, 2016, 06:10:17 PM »

there's gotta be starving pollsters out there living paycheck to paycheck that ask how ORC gets paid to do polling.
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RBH
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,216


« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2016, 07:27:14 PM »

Considering the cross tabs, Nevada is not really in play. If Clinton is tied with whites and leading with non-whites, this should be a fairly clear win. Something is wonky with the topline.

Or maybe the cross tabs are wonky.

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With that number of respondents, it's the cross-tabs.

I think if the cross-tabs are wonky to that degree, then it's probably influencing the topline figures too.

It's not that the cross tabs are influencing the toplines, but rather both the cross tabs and toplines suffer from the low number of respondents increasing the margins of error.

Dude, if Clinton ties Sanders among whites and has a lead among non-whites then how the hell is she ahead by only 1 point?
It's simple mathematics.

space aliens being housed at Area 51 are breaking heavy for Sanders?
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