2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 169890 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #75 on: November 09, 2018, 03:53:49 PM »
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on November 09, 2018, 03:50:20 PM
So Wasserman already has the House PV margin at about 6 points, and that's with tons of votes from California left to count. How high do you think it could get?

Hillary gained like 2 points from California after election day right? So probably around 8?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #76 on: November 09, 2018, 04:12:46 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 09, 2018, 04:00:52 PM
Quote from: Virginiá on November 09, 2018, 03:59:24 PM
Should I just change 2018 to 2020 in the thread title and have this one rollover for 2020's GCBs? Thread seems small enough to keep it going tbh.

I don't feel strongly either way about it, but it seems likely that we'll get very few GCB polls for a while.

Morning Consult will probably have them.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #77 on: January 17, 2019, 09:43:25 AM »
First set of Crystal Ball House Ratings:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #78 on: March 25, 2019, 11:39:47 AM »


New York City Council Member Ritchie Torres is running here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #79 on: April 10, 2019, 11:58:55 AM »
Quote from: All States will be D on April 10, 2019, 10:40:46 AM
https://www.star-telegram.com/latest-news/article229013409.html

DCCC Texas polls on Marchant,Chip Roy, and Mccaul's district.
No actual polling on head to head vs generic D  which is good 2 years ahead.

Looks like Bustos is smartly making the idea of targetting Texas. Texas 23rd shouldn't be triaged unless it looks like the D's are already losing the house.

24 feels a lot like 7 and 32 did about a year out.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #80 on: June 14, 2019, 08:22:24 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #81 on: July 01, 2019, 04:46:18 PM »
Have to imagine that Wexton has desires of a future Senate or Governor run.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #82 on: July 02, 2019, 10:17:36 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #83 on: July 02, 2019, 02:49:43 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #84 on: July 02, 2019, 04:20:13 PM »
My lord!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #85 on: July 02, 2019, 08:47:43 PM »
McSally only raised $1.8 million
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Gass3268
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« Reply #86 on: July 08, 2019, 02:02:45 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #87 on: July 08, 2019, 09:33:08 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #88 on: July 10, 2019, 10:20:34 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #89 on: July 10, 2019, 02:58:22 PM »
Quote from: Interlocutor on July 10, 2019, 02:39:58 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on July 10, 2019, 08:05:33 AM
I get the feeling that most of the GOP energy is going to end up focused on CA48/39 this cycle, with CA45 and 49 getting off a little easy.

As it should be. CA 45/49 look to be lost for a generation.

With CA-48, they could use the "Rohrabacher who?" cover.

 CA-39 would be a prime pickup if 'Generic R' ran rather than Young "Dems totally stole the vote" Kim

Given the demographic makeup of CA-39, I have to imagine that it won't be easier to get the seat back in a Presidential year.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #90 on: July 14, 2019, 07:43:24 PM »
Some Republican numbers from Texas:

TX-06: Wright $72,345
TX-08: Brady $650,257
TX-10: McCaul $646,095
TX-22: Olson $377,529
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Gass3268
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« Reply #91 on: July 15, 2019, 08:34:42 AM »
AL-SEN: Doug Jones (D) - $2,006,226

IA-01: Ashley Hinson Arenholz (R) - $337,553
IA-03: David Young (R) - $359,700
NY-01: Perry Gershon (D) - $406,751
TX-23: Gina Ortiz Jones (D) - $587,527
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Gass3268
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« Reply #92 on: July 15, 2019, 09:48:17 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #93 on: July 16, 2019, 08:01:11 AM »

Did we ever get Marchant’s number?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #94 on: July 16, 2019, 08:56:05 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on July 16, 2019, 08:49:55 AM


Low numbers, but Phillips is one of those self-funders with insane ability to dump personal wealth into the seat. So I guess he is kinda ignoring this side of the battle for now.

Also his seat is moving leftward at the speed of light.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #95 on: July 17, 2019, 06:10:59 PM »
Kevin McCarthy's PAC donated to Dan Lipinski
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Gass3268
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« Reply #96 on: October 01, 2019, 08:12:34 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #97 on: October 04, 2019, 03:55:40 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 04, 2019, 03:32:43 PM
Quote from: Politician on October 04, 2019, 02:52:33 PM
Fmr. TX-32 Rep. Sessions running for open TX-17

What should we call this phenomenon? The Issa strategy?

At least Issa was just moving to the district next door in the same county that had territory that was in a prior version of his district. Maybe the Kirkpatrick strategy?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #98 on: October 07, 2019, 12:00:24 PM »
Jim Costa failed to get the CA Democratic Party endorsement.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #99 on: October 08, 2019, 08:58:49 AM »
Quote from: ltomlinson31 on October 08, 2019, 08:19:53 AM


Porter should run for the Senate whenever Feinstein retires.
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