OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Gass3268]

Bring on the anecdotal turnout and weather reports

It's raining in NoFrankCo, blue wave is canceled.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/ryanobles/status/1026837258530447361

[Gass3268]

Will the needle make an appearance tonight?

Cohen said no

[Gass3268]

This race has been successfully nationalized, it's pretty much over.

It really hasn’t. At least in comparison to GA-6 and PA-18. This is probably on the level of KS-4 tbh.

It wasn't even the top story in the local news last night. The OSU/Urban Meyer mess was.

[Gass3268]

Will the needle make an appearance tonight?

Cohen said no

Also, Cohn said no.

I always get that wrong

[Gass3268]

The weather is still good in Franklin County!

No rain in NoFrankCo, blue wave canceled?

[Gass3268]

I'm begging folks here (including me) not to freak out over the early returns/early vote.

[Gass3268]

Steve Kornacki is very excited on MSNBC, lol.

[Gass3268]

Don't freak out, but wow:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1026974904590258176

[Gass3268]

100% of the EV in, O'Connor up 63-37.

O'Connor won the Delaware County early vote 60-39

[Gass3268]

Balderson took the lead

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/JasonMMcGrath/status/1027008789290135552

[Gass3268]

Delaware County Precinct Map Update

If the ones in grey are yet to be counted, then they very well could go to OConnor.
So there is still a chance.

This map is way out of date, it stopped updating a while ago.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth is looking pretty good tonight.

[Gass3268]

I think those wasted Green votes are going to cost DOC in the end.

O'Connor camp felt the Green was taking from both evenly.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth was dead on.

[Gass3268]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/mobile/000/026/832/jeongtweet.jpg

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

So do you actually have any evidence this had any impact whatsoever or are you just throwing that out there to be snarky?

Can you de-Mod him? A troll should not be a mod.

[Gass3268]

This is enough to maybe go to the recount zone:

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1027025172656738307

[Gass3268]

Just saw on MSNBC 3.5k Provo Votes in Franklin County!!!!!

Is it legit???

I hope they get counted soon, it's getting late.

I'm hearing its close to 8,000 and those probably won't get counted until tomorrow or later.

[Gass3268]

NBC will not call the race tonight:

https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1027029287646494721

[Gass3268]

According to the Ohio SoS, there are 5000K absentees and 3500K provisionals. Absentees are probably going to break about even, so even if you want to be optimistic O'Connor could net 500 votes out of them at the very best. That means O'Connor would need to win 68% of provisional ballots to make up his deficit - but that's assuming all of them are counted, which is never the case with provisionals. If only half are counted, he would need to win 86% of those.

In other words: it's over. Still an indicator that the partisan climate favors Democrats, of course, but we knew it already and it wasn't the point of this election. The point was to reduce the number of seats needed to win from 23 to 22, and we failed at that. Not a huge blow, but still a setback.

Aren't you just a ray of sunshine.

He's completely correct.

There might be enough provisional/remaining absentee votes to get in into the recount margin, but really that's all we are waiting for.

[Gass3268]

O'Connor still refusing to concede strengthens my belief that he is milking this for all the resistance bucks he can get before they find a new shiny object

Not a bad strategy when you are going to be giving it another shot in 2.5 months.

[Gass3268]

O'Connor still refusing to concede strengthens my belief that he is milking this for all the resistance bucks he can get before they find a new shiny object

Some people just can't lose an election with any class and dignity.

Has your child diddler conceded yet?