NC-Monmouth: Clinton +1

[Gass3268]

Clinton hasn't been behind in a non-junky 50-state poll since the first debate and her current average is 2.3 on RCP. You are going to have some polls at a 1% lead with that average.

[Gass3268]

Here are how they report the demos:

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted) Self-Reported

33% Republican 37% Independent 30% Democrat

46% Male 54% Female

23% 18-34 24% 35-49 30% 50-64 23% 65+

72% White 21% Black 2% Hispanic 5% Other

Big ID clash with PPP, who has it as 43% Dem, 34% GOP, 23% Indy/Other

What this is telling me is that with even with a very Republican sample, Clinton is a head. Turnout will obviously be critical in North Carolina.

[Gass3268]

They also have McCrory up 1 and Burr up 6, so it seems like a bit of an R friendly sample.

lol k

Yeah, this tells me that even great Republican turnout, Clinton will still win NC.