Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5

[Gass3268]

This should put her over 80% in the polls-only model.

[Gass3268]

Huge chunk of millennials have moved in mass from Johnson/Stein to Clinton since mid-September.

Difference from 9/14 with voters between 18-34:

Clinton +17%
Trump +1%
Johnson - 18%
Stein -6%

Looks like the millennial outreach is working!

[Gass3268]

Very nice ! Great news !
The RCP average right now has Clinton at +4.5 in the two-way race.
If you were to remove the most recent Gravis national poll (tied & dated Sept 27th) and the bogus LA Times/USC tracking poll, then Clinton would be at about +6 as an average.
Cant wait to see the new ABC poll.

538's polls plus has Clinton up 4.9%.

[Gass3268]

Clinton's leading Trump by 4 points among college educated white people. Has this happened before in the last 50 years?

No. Ever since exit polls were introduced in 1952, Democrats have never won this demographic.

Although for comparison, Quinnipiac's last national survey in 2012 showed Obama leading with college-educated whites by a 5-point margin:

Ah so there is still a chance that some of these folks will go back to the republican camp. Trump cannot win without doing better among white people than romney.

Unless there is a huge surge of non college educated whites who have never voted before signing up just to support trump

Not really