This actually jives with the last statewide Siena poll that had Clinton up 21 statewide, but had her essentially tied in the NYC suburbs. It was her worst region.
If he is this close in the NYC suburbs I wouldn't be surprised if he does better than -21. He has to be doing almost as well upstate as he is in the suburbs.
That's because Trump is getting murdered in New York City, which is pretty hilarious.
New York City
Clinton 70%
Trump 18%
Johnson 3%
Stein 3%
New York City Suburbs
Clinton 39%
Trump 38%
Johnson 10%
Stein 4%
Upstate
Clinton 42%
Trump 36%
Johnson 11%
Stein 4%