New poll hype thread

[Gass3268]

Looks like Harry lied to us

[Gass3268]

Looks like Harry lied to us

Yeah I think they only polled favorability and debate questions... what a waste.

It doesn't appear that NBC or CNN are releasing polls either. Sad day.

CNN tends to like the Monday morning release.

[Gass3268]

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He's the Director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

[Gass3268]

A new CBS News national poll will be out in 20 minutes or so.

Anyone remember what their last number was?

[Gass3268]

New Marquette poll coming out Wednesday... next Wednesday, October 12th. Not much point in making guesses this far out, although you'd think the bounce would spread to Wisconsin as well.

hmmmm, are they conducting before or after the 2nd presidential debate?

Based on past polls, before and after.

[Gass3268]

Looks like Monmouth might be looking into polling non-traditional states:

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[Gass3268]

There last poll had Clinton up 6, it was taken right in that sweet spot where she had a little bit of a rebound before the first debate, but before things started to fall again.

I'm going to guess Clinton +10 in the two-way, +9 in the 4 way.

[Gass3268]

Chris Hays is saying on twitter that you're gonna want to check this out.  I say Clinton +7

Changing my prediction, +12 in the 2 way, 11 in the 4 way.

[Gass3268]

Anymore news?

It's gonna be a couple days, it's going to take about a week to bake in the results of the debate and the video.

[Gass3268]

menbc repirting a new post debate national poll from nbc in an hour

I bet this will be lower than yesterday's poll, which will cause us to all freak out.

[Gass3268]

menbc repirting a new post debate national poll from nbc in an hour

Is this still happening?

[Gass3268]

What a terrible time to have a polling drought.

It always takes time after a debate, we didn't get good polling after he first debate until a full week later.

[Gass3268]

Isn't Monmouth polling red states? Hopefully that is what he is talking about.

That would be the best case!

[Gass3268]

if wisconsin becomes solid in terms of numbers...instead of just "knowledge"...too, it would be terrific.

I'm guessing Clinton +5, Feingold +7

[Gass3268]

Fox News' post-debate national poll is coming out tomorrow.  Usually, they're released around 6PM eastern time.

Interesting, their polls the past few weeks have been released on Friday.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth will be releasing a poll of Utah later this afternoon.

[Gass3268]

Why is everyone predicting a Trump lead? I don't know who should be in first, but it seems like anyone's game their right now after the un-endorsements and SLT endorsement of Hillary.

Yeah I think it's going to be really close, but I expect McMuffin to pull away if/when he gets some big time Utah R endorsements plus maybe Mittens.

[Gass3268]

I'll be bold:
Trump +7
Young +1
Gregg +2

I think Gregg & Young have both been running better campaigns and building momentum.

Yeah, I agree with this. Bayh has sucked in his campaign.

[Gass3268]

a legit Arizona poll would be out of this world.

What do you have against Data Orbital?

[Gass3268]

Are you asking or saying ?

asking - referring to:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244642.msg5320287#msg5320287

NBC/Survey Monkey, Politico/Morning Consult, and YouGov will all have their weekly trackers early this week.

[Gass3268]

monmouth is live callers with realistic electorate modeling - national poll could be hillary +8-10

There last poll had Clinton +4 and it was taken right before the first debate.

[Gass3268]

CNN Polls of NC, NV, and OH will be released at Noon ET

[Gass3268]

CNN Polls of NC, NV, and OH will be released at Noon ET

CNN has been one of the few live calling polling outfits to show a trump lean...wouldn't be surprised to see them have him up in OH, tied in NC and trailing in NV.

You are probably, but things have really changed since they last polled before the debate, also there post debate national poll was reasonable at Clinton +5.

Ohio: Trump +1
NC: Clinton +3
NV: Clinton +5

[Gass3268]

Anyone know when the Marist poll is coming out?

I don't remember ever seeing a confirmation of this poll actually occurring.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac Poll ‏@QuinnipiacPoll  2h2 hours ago
Tim Malloy & Peter Brown to discuss #Colorado #Florida #Ohio #Pennsylvania #SwingState Poll on 2016 presidential race
TODAY 3p eastern

Keep in mind Quinnipiac is another firm that has had a significant Republican lean all cycle.

Not as bad as CNN and it has varied from poll to poll.