VA Results

[Gass3268]

More of SD-29 is reporting.

5 precincts of 49 (10.20%) reporting

Jeremy S. McPike
Democratic   1,082   54.65%

Harry J. "Hal" Parrish II
Republican            897           45.30%

All of this is in Manassas too, not good for Parrish.

[Gass3268]

No results in from Powhatan County in the Gecker-Sturtevant race yet... not good for Gecker's chances. Got to stop being optimistic!

Yeah, but its only 13% of the district and there is still a lot of Richmond left. Going to be be really close.

[Gass3268]

Almost all of Manassas City is in now and more Prince William is coming in. Margin between McPike and Parrish is narrowing with Parrish still ahead, with only 20% of Prince William Co. being in.

Yup, Parrish is only up 3% with all of Manassas City in. The fact he lost Manassas Park isn't good.

[Gass3268]

From the AP's results, the D10 district is 96% done and the GOP has won that seat, tentatively (I think). So the GOP looks like they tentatively won the VA Senate?

No idea where the AP is getting that from Virginia DOE still has only 77%.

[Gass3268]

Is Powhatan County a conservative area?   That seems to be where most of the vote is left in SD-10.

Consistently the most Republican county in the state for past 20 years.  70%+ for every R whose run this decade.

Cooch only got a 4,400 margin here in 2013, I was not expecting the same or larger margin. I'm not so sure of these unofficial results.

[Gass3268]

Damn, AP called SD10, why is VA DOE so far behind?

[Gass3268]

NoVA is so annoying at how long it takes to come in.

[Gass3268]

Jennifer Boysko won in HD-86

[Gass3268]

Powhatan County is taking so long to come in, that I am convinced McAuliffe has something up his sleeve a la Warner 2014.

In the Rum Man we trust!

[Gass3268]

Bloomberg's PACs need to stay the **** out of the rural South going forward.

To be fair, I would argue that he helped out here rather than hurt. Virginia is a place where he should be pumping money into.

[Gass3268]

HD 34 - Murphy as 183 vote lead. Awaiting Loudoun absentees

[Gass3268]

Kathleen Murphy wins in HD-34

Looks like Josh King will lose in HD-02

Looks like Democrats will have a net gain of 1 in the House.

[Gass3268]

Scratch that on HD-02:

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Should be really close.

[Gass3268]

Interesting that Barker had as close a call as McPike did.  And  McCabe kept it within 5 points.  Loudoun seems to have trended left in general tonight and VA Dems would be wise to recruit a top tier challenger against Black next time.

The issue here is the instant Black retires this seat is probably out of reach for Dems as there is a lot of rural Loudoun in this district.

Also HD-02 was called for the Republican Dudenhefer.

Democrats only gain 1 seat in the House.

[Gass3268]

Murphy's win is big for Dems - she is looked at as possible challenger to Comstock in 2016 for VA-10

Bell and Boysko pick ups in the House illustrate a changing NoVA. The DC belt pushes ever outward.

Exactly! I could be shocked if a statewide Republican ever won Fairfax County again in the foreseeable future.

Also of the 34 House Seats now held by Democrats, 18 or 53% are in NoVA. There are still 4 seats in the region that every statewide Democrat has one since 2009, 4 others were the Republican has only won a minority of the time since 2009. Maybe you can win those by the end of the decade. 58-42 looks a lot better than 66-34.

In the State Senate 10 of the 19 (52.5%) seats are in NoVA, but unlike the House the Democrats control all of the seats possible (other than maybe SD-13 with Bill Black as the incumbent).

[Gass3268]

House Minority Leader David Toscano:

While most analysis has focused on the Virginia Senate, let’s not lose track of what happened in the House of Delegates races. Here is the positive news for Democrats:
• House Democrats ended the Republican “veto-proof” majority in the House.
• It was the second consecutive election where we picked up seats even though we were massively outspent, perhaps on a level of four-to-one.
• We held the seats of our incumbents Murphy, Mason, and Bulova, despite a barrage of misleading and untrue Republican attack ads, including an unprecendented Washington DC broadcast TV buy of almost $1 million. The Republicans attempted to buy the elections
• We did not lose one incumbent and we have not lost a Democratic incumbent for two consecutive general elections.
• Democrats won two open seats formerly held by Republicans, with Jennifer Boysko’s win in Herndon and John Bell’s win in Loudoun.
• Democrats won an additional four open seat races; one open seat is still too close to call.

What race is still too close to call?