same sex marriage by state 2016

[Gass3268]

My guess

[Gass3268]

The Nevada legislature is starting the process of getting a ballot measure to overturn the constitutional ban.They will have to pass the amendment in two consecutive terms before putting it up to the people in 2016. The Governor has no legal say in the matter, only thing that matters is the Dems keep their majorities in 2014.

The reason I predicted Michigan and Ohio is that both states have initiatives, by 2016 I could see both states being open to marriage equality.

I feel like the pressure is going to get to be too big for the Suburban Philly GOP and they will cross over to support legalization.

Either Christie will sign a SSM bill or they will put it up to a referendum.

New Mexico and Wyoming are long shoots and I probably should have left it off.

[Gass3268]

I assume the thread intended 2016 as in "post-November 2016". So that's two election cycles.

Ok, then add Nevada to my map, that's it. Assuming Dems keep the state legislature after 2014. Keep in mind that there has never been a campaign to replace a constitutional amendment against gay marriage with one to allow it, so we don't know how it would play out.

Oregon is probably going to do it in 2014.