Wisconsin Megathread

[Gass3268]

Politically, Kind is an awful Democrat. One of the biggest Wall Street/Free traders in the Midwest. Current chair of the New Democratic Collation. Definition of a 3rd Way Dem.

[Gass3268]

Politically, Kind is an awful Democrat. One of the biggest Wall Street/Free traders in the Midwest. Current chair of the New Democratic Collation. Definition of a 3rd Way Dem.

Yeah... he's a really right-winger

*eyeroll*

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/ron-kind/

1) I never called him a right-winger
2) These are votes since Trump has been President, it would be better to look at his entire Congressional record.
3) He is one of the most Wall Street friendly Democrats in the Midwest.

[Gass3268]

Politically, Kind is an awful Democrat. One of the biggest Wall Street/Free traders in the Midwest. Current chair of the New Democratic Collation. Definition of a 3rd Way Dem.

Yeah... he's a really right-winger

*eyeroll*

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/ron-kind/

1) I never called him a right-winger
2) These are votes since Trump has been President, it would be better to look at his entire Congressional record.
3) He is one of the most Wall Street friendly Democrats in the Midwest.

He's also what the D party needs in Wisconsin right now. Someone who knows how to campaign towards less urban voters and who is not from Dane or MKE county areas. The guy has done so well in his district that the GOP didn't even bother challenging him in 2016.

He also makes for an interesting test case.

Ron Kind, a Dem who's more centrist and has wall street ties, will share a ballot with Tammy Baldwin, who is neither of those things. I say to the Dems: this is exactly what you want. Put them both on the ballot together, and determine the direction your party should go using the scientific method. How much Baldwin outpolls/underpolls Kind will tell the WI Dems a lot about what direction they should take going forward. Of course, incumbency should be taken into consideration; I expect Baldwin will outpoll Kind for that very reason, but factor that out and you've got some solid data.

This is a good thought.

[Gass3268]

Seeing on Twitter that Madison could get to 20% turnout. Would shatter the prior record of 10% turnout in a Spring election primary.

[Gass3268]

Evers could get to 70%

[Gass3268]

What sucks about all of this hype and Democratic interest is that no one decided to challenge a conservative Supreme Court Justice that will be up for reelection at the same time as Evers. Might have had a chance this year.

[Gass3268]

Looking at the results at the county level, the traditional GOP East, Dem West pattern is very obvious. Evers dominated in Western Wisconsin, especially along the traditional Dem corridor between Eau Claire, La Crosse, and Dane counties.

The only real surprises are Douglas County, which Evers' won, but by much less than you would expect given all the surrounding counties, and Evers' over-performance in Outagamie, which he won with more than 70% - and as I mentioned earlier, Ozaukee seems to be peeling itself out of WOW, as Evers carried it. Holtz only "won" Washington and Waukesha counties... he even lost Florence.

Link please?

[Gass3268]

Breaking: Ron Kind will NOT run for Governor in 2018

[Gass3268]

Former State Senator Tim Cullen said he's running.

Ugh, he's kind of an ass.

[Gass3268]

Breaking: Ron Kind will NOT run for Governor in 2018

Welp. There goes the best recruit.

Thoughts on Parisi? A County Exec is usually a good stepping stone to Governor

Complete unknown even to most in Dane County. In theory, yes, a CE is a good stepping stone, but not from Dane County in the current local environment. There is no bench at this point. Anyone else is way below Kind, tier-wise. Pocan could be good, but he runs into the same Dane county vs the rest of the state problem.

I honestly don't know at this point.

That didn't stop Tammy Baldwin.

Vinehout is probably the best bet however.

[Gass3268]

Breaking: Ron Kind will NOT run for Governor in 2018

I congratulate Governor Scott Walker on a third term!

(sarcasm)

Yeah, I never got this meme. I mean if a school board member could keep the margin to 6% in a wave year, surely he could lose in a even or negative year.

[Gass3268]

Walker has seen a recent bump in approval, but still underwater:

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[Gass3268]

Walker has seen a recent bump in approval, but still underwater:

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Considering his approval ratings have pretty much always been around that number, he is the prime definition of a polarizing candidate.

From mid-2015 to mid-2016 his approvals were in the high 30's.

[Gass3268]

Uh... this would be fun:

Mark Tauscher for Governor

http://www.jsonline.com/story/news/local/milwaukee/2017/03/30/former-packer-mark-tauscher-mulling-run-governor/99833134/

He already denied it today.
This would be an interesting twist to the slate of boring candidates they have been pushing over the last couple of cycles.

[Gass3268]

Today's the big Spring election. I'm expecting Tony Evers to win, and, more than anything, I'm looking to forward to seeing how turnout in the anti-Trump counties goes.

Should we create a new thread for this or just discuss it here? Also most local (county and city/village/town) elections are also today.

[Gass3268]

Josh Kaul to run for AG

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Source

[Gass3268]

Don't have time to grab the article right now (but it is going through all the local state news) is that Republicans are trying to stop local school referendums. They think the schools are funded enough as it is now. But remember, Act 10 was supposed to free up schools financially and then if they needed additional funding they could do so with referendums. But the magnitude of ones that are passing each year must be pretty embarrassing.

Would that take a constitutional amendment?

[Gass3268]

Dane County Executive Joe Parisi will not run for Governor

[Gass3268]

There's a Democratic challenger to Gableman that announced earlier this week. Don't have time to go find the article right now but he won't be unchallenged.

I saw that too, its a shame he didn't try to run this year.

[Gass3268]

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Sigh... his election budget strategy is working again.

[Gass3268]

Walker finally declared, will none of you stand against him?

Me personally, no. Maybe MasterJedi will? /s

[Gass3268]

Walker finally declared, will none of you stand against him?

Me personally, no. Maybe MasterJedi will? /s

If nobody other than that guy who ran in California runs i'd suggest having either Jedi run or have Xingerui move to Wisconsin and run, he seems willing to.

Xingerui/Jedi 2018!

[Gass3268]

#DraftKathleen

Falk? She couldn't even win the AG race during the 2006 wave.

Vinehout? She would be a pretty good choice. Represents an area that Democrats need to win in order to take the state.

[Gass3268]

http://www.newrichmond-news.com/news/politics/4272920-western-wisconsin-lawmaker-eyes-gubernatorial-bid

Looks like Vinehout is ramping up "exploring a bid" for Governor. An easy primary could help ameliorate the money disadvantage the Democrats have vs Walker.

She has no competition.

Was back home over the long weekend and I already saw Vinehout signs in Madison.

[Gass3268]

Who would be the best candidate ?

Probably Vinehout. Farmer, socially moderate populist who represents a heavily Trump rural populist district and can't really be labelled as a Madison or Milwaukee liberal like Burke and Barrett were. The more I think of it, she's probably the outside the box candidate that the DPW needs

Grassroots like Vinehout too.