What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election)

[Miles]

I chose Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, and West Virginia. I honestly don't understand why more people didn't pick Michigan, they were a red state in 2016, with a Republican governor, Republicans have control of the state House and Senate, and a majority of the state's representatives in the US House are Republicans. The state, in my opinion, is slowly getting more and more Republican.

Because that's not how politics works. Stabenow is entrenched, there's a weak field, Trump and Snyder are deeply unpopular there, etc

I do realize how much people don't like Snyder all across the state, but I think people are stating to not like Stabenow either. Like I said, Republicans got control of the state House and Senate.

Democrats won the popular vote for the Michigan State House in 2012, 2014 and 2016.

But since both chambers of the Nevada legislature flipped Democratic last year, I guess Heller is toast.

[Miles]

^ Yeah, though you did get something of a preview of Trump's strength in northern MI with Stabenow's races.

From 2006 to 2012, her margin expanded from 16% to 21%, but she lost ground in the entire UP (though still swept it):


But yeah, not looking like a good pickup for Republicans, either way.