Predict Margin (%) for NC-Senate

[Miles]

Hagan- 49%
Tillis- 47%
Haugh- 4%

If the election were today I'd say Hagan by 3-5%, but I think the race will start to tighten this month. This was right when Hagan started to break away as a challenger. The average in RCP is Hagan +5; if thats still the case in mid-October, I'll feel better.

I think Haugh will fade, but he'll be in at least one debate, so he could still have a Sarvis-like showing.