Illinois Statewide Mega-Thread: State has first budget in over a year

[Miles]

I could have sworn there was something like this out previously, but reportedly new audio was released of Rauner on the minimum wage:

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[Miles]

WAA polled the row offices: (I think this was the poll where Rauner was up 3)

Treasuer
Cross (R)- 42%
Frerichs (D)- 35%

Comptroller
Topinka (R)- 55%
Simon (D)- 32%
Fox (L)- 6%

SOS
White (D)- 61%
Webster (R)- 28%
Michel (L)- 5%

AG
Madigan (D)- 53%
Schimpf (R)- 32%
Koyl (L)- 6%

[Miles]

Statewide Averages by County:



Statewide PVIs by County:

[Miles]

^ Thanks. I'm by no means an authority on IL politics, but seems that Democrats should be seeing some red flags around East St. Louis, and and Little Egypt in general.

[Miles]

Here's the turnout change from 2010-2014: (red= more votes, blue= less)
 


Turnout was down about 2.7%. Most of the counties in the south that swung hardest against Quinn actually cast less votes. Looks like what killed Quinn was the collar counties; turnout stayed pretty close to 2010, but they all swung 5-10% against him.

[Miles]

Wards of Chicago:

[Miles]

^ Yes, I'm sure I could get the Presidential results from the Chicago site.

I would have really liked to do the swing from 2010, but from what I understand, there was a ward redistricting in 2011 (so it wouldn't be an apples-to-apples comparison).

[Miles]

Quinn vs Obama:



Turnout (it was about 48% citywide):



Interestingly, turnout was comparatively high in both Quin's best ward and the ones that swing hardest against him.  

[Miles]

^ Hmm, I downloaded the shapefile from the city's website, so I assumed it was current. Hopefully the data matches

[Miles]

Looks like Rauner wasn't joking when, in the debates, he said he looks up to Walker, Snyder and Scott:

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[Miles]

I have a few more maps like this coming, but here's 2014 Governor in the East St. Louis area (Madison and St. Clair counties, plus I threw in Macoupin):

[Miles]

More of East St. Louis:

2010:


Swing from 2010 to 2014:


Change in turnout:


Turnout was down almost everywhere, but East St. Louis itself cast almost 14% fewer votes in 2014, which really didn't help Quinn.

[Miles]

Man, Madigan is creaming Rauner.

She's well on her way to avenging the tragic loss of the People's Pat!

[Miles]

The People's Pat not ruling out running for office again!

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[Miles]

Teacher's union members crash Rauner's press conference after he insulted tem:

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FF's!

It was so nice when Illinois had a Governor who cared about public education. Sad!

[Miles]

Rauner vetoes automatic voter registration bill:

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HP!