The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Miles]

The NC-03 results are ridiculous. Both the AP and the state site have just over 50% in with totally different results.

But yeah, that what the AP says lol

[Miles]

Baby Berger is only at 37% with all of Rockingham County in (says the state site). 30% district wide is in.

[Miles]

Its looking like Alma Adams avoids a runoff in NC12. Almost all of Meck is in and she's at 45% (per the state site).

'Would be impressive if she can pull this off.

[Miles]

^ A runoff would be really nasty.

Baby Berger is still at 37% with over 60%.

He's under 40% in many of the VA border counties and only up 4 in Guilford County.

[Miles]

The AP has only 20K votes total cast in CD3.

Thats seems really darn low.

Who is Baby Berger?

Phil Berger, Jr.

[Miles]

^ Basically, and he's much less gaffe-prone.

[Miles]

Yes!

[Miles]

Meanwhile, the state site just now changed it to Jones leading.

Guess the AP was the better source.

[Miles]

A few very quick maps:

CD7

Rouzer (blue)
White (red)



CD3

Jones (blue)
Griffin (red)

[Miles]

^Yeah, lol. I'll get to that one

Wow, NC-12 called for Adams.

How bout that.

[Miles]

CD6 has too much of Guilford left out to do a map, but here's CD2.

Its still really close. Aiken (blue) is barely up over Crisco (red). Morris (green) must be from Hoke County:

[Miles]

AP calls runoff in NC-06 between Baby Berger and Walker.

[Miles]

Tillis was pretty consistent. Brannon won Currituck, Haywood and Polk counties while Harris won Anson. Most of Tillis' 50%+ counties were in the east; mildly surprising to me.

Harris has roots around Winston-Salem, which is why counties around there are lighter blue.

[Miles]

^ One observation someone on Twitter made was that Jones did better in counties that have the most NC natives. Newer residents in the wealthier red counties don't remember him or his father.

They must have actually updated Greene County since I last checked. He's down to 56% there. FWIW, though, Jones is from a town called Farmville; its in Pitt County but is close to the border with Greene County.

[Miles]

Tillis was pretty consistent. Brannon won Currituck, Haywood and Polk counties while Harris won Anson. Most of Tillis' 50%+ counties were in the east; mildly surprising to me.

Harris has roots around Winston-Salem, which is why counties around there are lighter blue.

Who are the other two colors?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Miles]

Update: Brannon actually also won Buncombe and Gates counties.




Here's CD6. Berger actually carried all the counties but ended up with 34% districtwide. He was only at 29% in Guilford county and was a few dozen votes away from losing Alamance.

[Miles]

^ PPP's final poll had Tillis up 46-40, IIRC. I think he'd win a much more comfortably though.

My guess is Brannon would flip more of those lighter-blue counties in the west. Other than that. Tillis' worst major metro area was Winston-Salem. Harris would hold some influence there, so it depends on who he'd endorse (probably Tillis).

Also, note that all Brannon's counties were in non-NC media markets (Greenville, SC and Virginia Beach). Tillis/Rove must not have bought ads in those markets.

[Miles]

Mooney up to 34-21 with 6.6% in.

[Miles]

AP and Politico are different:

Politico

Mooney- 32%
Reed- 27%
Lane- 19%

AP

Mooney- 35%
Lane- 21%
Reed- 18%

Both have 17-18% reporting.

Edit: Both are fixed. Politco's was right.

[Miles]

Up to 30% in for WV-02. Mooney is leading Reed/Lane 31/21/21.

[Miles]

1% in for NE Senate

Sasse: 42%
Dindale: 28%
Osborn: 24%

[Miles]

^ Thats what Politico had when 1.3% was in.

[Miles]

AP gives Casey the D nod for WV-02. Looks like he's still in the high-50's.

[Miles]

Big vote dump in WV-02. Mooney up 12 with 55% in. Lane and Reed are just exchanging 2nd and 3rd places at this point.

[Miles]

Terry is only up 54-46 with almost 20% in. He got 59% in the 2012 primary.