The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 149627 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #150 on: June 04, 2014, 12:42:09 AM »

AOS is projecting McDaniel at 49.96% without Holmes County.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #151 on: June 04, 2014, 12:50:47 AM »

Second CA-07 runoff slot called for Ose.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #152 on: June 04, 2014, 01:02:26 AM »




If Gooch gets second place....
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #153 on: June 04, 2014, 01:09:01 AM »

^ Yep. 'Waiting for AOS to weigh in on MS-Sen, but at RRH, they say its mathematically impossible for either to win outright.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #154 on: June 04, 2014, 01:14:43 AM »
« Edited: June 04, 2014, 01:19:29 AM by Miles »


Good Lord. I knew I he wasn't speaking, but wow.


Also, CA-17 officially Honda/Khanna (idk why it took this long to make that call).

CA-21 called for Renteria; the DCCC gets its pick.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #155 on: June 04, 2014, 01:35:51 AM »

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Its cast very few votes (216 total) and is on the opposite side of the state from his MS-01 base.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #156 on: June 04, 2014, 01:45:55 AM »

Also, to any people who know Mississippi: What the hell happened in Wilkinson County? It's the only county Childers lost, and not only that, he's in last place there. And the guy in last place overall leads there. WTF?

Maybe the home county of this guy ?

The guy in first place is also from MS-01 and the guy in 2nd place a black R-turned-D from MS-02. Odd.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #157 on: June 04, 2014, 02:25:21 AM »

MT-AL (R) called for Ryan Zinke, who has 33% in a 5-way field.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #158 on: June 04, 2014, 03:20:07 AM »

Here's the Cochran/McDaniel map.



This really shows how well McDaniel did in the south-central region.

Going back to Wilkenson County, yeah, something seems odd. Childers lost it and McDaniel won it with 43% (Carey got 25%).

Cochran only won Hancock County by 300 votes; if Taylor wasn't cranking up turnout there, I could see McDaniel flipping it.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #159 on: June 04, 2014, 12:38:17 PM »

Cochran certainly owes Taylor a fruit basket.

Looks like he'll also be sending out more fruit baskets to these last-minute donors:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #160 on: June 04, 2014, 01:49:35 PM »

Palazzo vs. McDaniel. Palazzo did better in the blue counties. I excluded Clarke County because it only has a handful of precincts in the district (though they saved Palazzo Tongue).

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #161 on: June 04, 2014, 02:39:10 PM »

This is why McDaniel leads overall while only carrying CD4:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #162 on: June 04, 2014, 03:44:37 PM »

Well, there it is. AP officially calls a runoff.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #163 on: June 04, 2014, 03:53:50 PM »

This is why McDaniel leads overall while only carrying CD4:



I wonder why the SIG didn't do a map showing the size of the difference of votes between the two candidates.  Much would be appreciated if they did.

This isn't an elevation map like that, but if it helps, here's an interactive heat map of the absolute vote difference. Its with 97% reporting, so it may be slightly off, but its just a pain to update the numbers (the AP result format isn't particularly Excel-friendly):

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #164 on: June 04, 2014, 04:11:46 PM »

Not suspicious at all.

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #165 on: June 04, 2014, 04:48:25 PM »

Thanks to cinyc for helping with AP -> Excel issues.

Updated CD numbers:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #166 on: June 04, 2014, 09:44:20 PM »

^ Great job!
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #167 on: June 05, 2014, 09:51:06 AM »

CA-31: RRH says Gooch is conceding to Aguilar.

That would have been pretty embarrassing otherwise.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #168 on: June 05, 2014, 02:29:53 PM »

MT-AL R Primary. Zinke won with 33%; Rosendale and Stapleton each about 28-29%.

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #169 on: June 06, 2014, 05:17:10 PM »


This was from yesterday:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #170 on: June 10, 2014, 09:35:36 PM »

The only Tuesday I take a break from primary liveblogging and Cantor is ousted. Go figure.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #171 on: June 24, 2014, 07:28:18 PM »

Cleveland County is reporting for OK and Lankford is at 67% (though its near his district).
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #172 on: June 24, 2014, 07:42:56 PM »

5% in for OK

Lankford- 57%
Shannon- 34%
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #173 on: June 24, 2014, 07:50:08 PM »

OK: 11% in and Lankford up 56-34.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #174 on: June 24, 2014, 07:57:25 PM »

Cochran 56% with 10%.
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