So I've been slowly compiling a national map of voter registration by county, and I finished Nevada last week..... the Democratic Party there only has a lead in registration in three counties, Clark, Esmeralda, and Washoe; a very small lead in the latter two. The Republican Party can win there, they just need to turn out the vote from Lincoln County to Carson City.
The only county that matters in Nevada is Clark. 72.5% of the entire state population is in that county. All the Democrats need to do to win is to get over 53% in Clark county and keep Washoe close to even.
This. NV's PVI isnt getting any more R (except if Sandoval is on the ticket) and the Ds are good as long as they hit those benchmarks.
