I made a similar table in Excel here similar to yours.
Let me know if you have any concerns about these. There's a few here I'm debating. Like whether Wisconsin is is Lean R or Likely R or whether Rhode Island is Likely D or Safe D. Mostly though the reason why there are so many "Likely D's" and not as many "Safe D's" is because of Open Seats (MD, MA, RI) and unpopular incumbents (HI), the rest (MN, NH) are normal.
I'd just move IL to Toss. NH would be Safe D for me at the moment too, as no Republicans have actually gotten in. If there was a Tilt R category, I'd put AR there.
