IL-17: Schilling leads in Bustos internal (user search)
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  IL-17: Schilling leads in Bustos internal (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL-17: Schilling leads in Bustos internal  (Read 9262 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: September 28, 2012, 02:30:23 PM »

Finally its looking like a tossup.

Aesthetically speaking, isn't the old IL-17 more "vicious"-looking than the new one!?
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2012, 05:12:23 PM »

Seems like Schilling has a lead in the upper single digits...the Illinois gerrymander seems to have only netted Democrats a few seats, in contrast to more effective Republican gerrymanders elsewhere. Though the Democrats did get lucky in California and Arizona, which offsets things...
How you govern matters. And, if you do a bad enough job, gerrymandering isn't going to save you.

Which is why the NC Republicans are favored to hold the Assembly and flip the Congressional delegation despite their 16% approval rating.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2012, 05:04:36 PM »

Seems like Schilling has a lead in the upper single digits...the Illinois gerrymander seems to have only netted Democrats a few seats, in contrast to more effective Republican gerrymanders elsewhere. Though the Democrats did get lucky in California and Arizona, which offsets things...

The Democrats might not even net two seats, let alone a few. Their gerrymander was fairly "effective." What wasn't working for the Democrats is Barack Obama, and their tax increases at the state level. They didn't "cut the lines as fine as possible" in the hopes of winning neighboring districts. They packed it with Democrats and conceded the neighboring district to the Republicans. In race after race you may very well see the Republican win in districts with very high Obama 2008 numbers. How you govern matters. And, if you do a bad enough job, gerrymandering isn't going to save you.

Hmm...so does that explain why IL Dems netted 4 Congressional seats and gained seats in each Legislative chamber?

Going by your logic, I'd say the IL Dems must be doing a pretty good job of governing...
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