If Matheson doesn't get a good option for a House seat, he has zero to lose running for Senate.
The most Democratic House seat in Utah, even if it's not very Democratic, will certainly be more Democratic-friendly than an at-large U.S. Senate seat.
I agree. Matheson's district is still 5 PVI points less Republican than the state as whole. Still, he's won it with many votes to spare (in most years)...
Wow, he's even ahead of Hatch. Chaffetz makes sense, but I thought Hatch was still pretty popular (among indies and non-crazy Republicans at least).
Independents disapprove of Hatch 27/60 and he only gets 67% of Republicans.