Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011)

[JoeBrayson]

This sounds obvious but the reason why Labour held their seats in the General Election was because Brown was Scottish and Labour benefited from a mini 'Brown Bounce'. Now Brown has resigned and is most likely to be replaced by an English leader, Labour could well lose seats due to the lack of Scottish leadership and the perception that the Labour Party is 'ran by London'.

[JoeBrayson]

Here are my Predictions:-

Lab (GAIN) from LibDem
Dunfermiline
Edinburgh Central
Edinburgh Southern

Lab (GAIN) from SNP
Aberdeen Donside
Almond Valley
Clackmannanshire & Dunblane
Cunninghame North
Dundee West
Edinburgh Eastern
Falkirk West
Glasgow Southside
Mid Fife & Glenrothes
Stirling

Too Close to Call
Aberdeen South & North Kincardine
Argyll & Bute
Banffshire & Buchan Coast
Caithness, Sutherland & Ross
Dundee East
Eastwood
Edinburgh West
Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire
Glasgow Shettleston
Inverness & Nairn
Midlothian South, Tweedale & Lauderdale
Na-H-Eileen An-Iar

Lab = 47
SNP = 6
Con = 3
LD = 5
Too Close To Call = 12

[JoeBrayson]

I wonder if anybody has done any 'notionals' based on the Westminster general election results back in May.