Bright spots for Democrats? (user search)
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  Bright spots for Democrats? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bright spots for Democrats?  (Read 2690 times)
Gren
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.43

« on: November 04, 2020, 12:15:34 PM »

I should start by saying that I absolutely believe Biden will win the election, and that's the one thing that I really wanted to happen. Anyway, as some of you seem really disappointed today, I thought it would be interesting to highlight examples of Democrats performing well. This is my take on it:

The Northeast, from Maryland upwards (except for PA) has come out really strong for Biden. I'm very happy about the results in NH and ME, but also in the other traditionally D states.

The West Coast has also been great, OR has had a +6 D swing and WA a +8 D swing. CA seems to be having less of a swing, but I think the result there is very decent.

Results in VA and, especially, CO have been remarkable. They've almost become blue states now. That can only be good going forward.

Then, there's the results in the suburbs and some urban areas. Maybe some of you were expecting better performances, but I'm satisfied with the swings in NE's Sarpy (D+11), Douglas (D+9 D), and Lincoln (D+8); KS's Johnson (D+10) and Douglas (D+7); most counties in the Atlanta area; urban counties in NC; to name a few.

Hope you also share your views.
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Gren
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.43

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 12:40:22 PM »

I agree with both of you guys. I also forgot to mention that I thought the result in MN was very satisfying, particularly in the context of other Midwestern states being disappointing.
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Gren
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.43

« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 01:34:39 PM »

Trump lost. That's the only bright spot. Dems are in disarray.

That is nonsense.
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Gren
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.43

« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:33 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2020, 06:56:31 PM by Gren »

Most of these points are talking about margins in areas that were already blue; but when those don't translate downballot, like against Susan Collins, it means nothing. Those extra Biden voters in Maine clearly don't share the Democrats' goals.

To me a bright spot is where you actually win something or get something tangible. If the standard is moral victories, the Democrats' star is shining bright. Thirty points in California! But the reality of power and outcome is the bottom line.

Well, the post was aimed at analyzing electoral performance and political geography, and I think that many of the points that have been made are objectively accurate. I appreciate that you and others are making an analysis more in terms of political strategy, and that's fine, but that really wasn't the interest for me here.
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